Temporal disaggregation using multivariate structural time series models

A Polynomial Method for Temporal Disaggregation of Multivariate Time Series

Temporal Disaggregation of Time Series

Temporal disaggregation methods are used to disaggregate low frequency time series to higher frequency series, where either the sum, the average, the first or the last value of the resulting high frequency series is consistent with the low frequency series. Temporal disaggregation can be performed with or without one or more high frequency indicator series. The package tempdisagg is a collectio...

Temporal disaggregation of economic time series: towards a dynamic extension

Multivariate Time Series Prediction via Temporal Classification

One of the important problems in many process industries is how to predict the occurrence of abnormal situations ahead of time in a multivariate time series environment. For example, in an oil refinery, hundreds of sensors (process variables) are installed at different sections of a process unit. These sensors constantly monitor the development of every stage of the process. Typically, each pro...

Structural Time Series Models

1 Trend and Cycle Decomposition y t = t + t where y t is an n 1 vector and t and t represent trend and cycle components respectively. This decomposition into components is not unique. Beveridge and Nelson (1981) and Stock and Watson (1988) derive the following decomposition: y t = C(L)" t = C(1)" t + (1 L)C (L)" t Integrating up gives: y t = C(1) 1 X i=0 " ti | {z } + C (L)" t | {z } trend cycl...